MULTI-CRITERION OPTIMIZATION OF SITUATIONAL MANAGEMENT OF MARITIME TRANSPORTATION UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
https://doi.org/10.33815/2313-4763.2025.1.30.171-186
Abstract
A methodology for multi-criteria optimization of maritime transport under conditions of uncertainty in the external environment is proposed. It is noted that in the practice of maritime transport management, complex manifestations of uncertainty are observed in the form of various specific situations, obscured by possible interactions and uncertainties of the external environment. It is shown that the most rational way to solve transport problems under conditions of uncertainty is multi-criteria optimization. Based on the consideration of real situations along the Turkey-Germany transport corridor, it is shown that reducing uncertainty in determining the conditions for navigating transport routes can be achieved both through the rational use of the vessel's operational parameters and by taking into account the external conditions of the route. The parameters for optimizing transport for a specific transport route are proposed and studied in detail. A transport matrix is formed, whose optimization parameters include vessel loading, delivery duration, transit speed, load on the main engine, fuel consumption, route deviation, and transportation cost. Practical cases of route passage are considered. The influence of external disturbances on the vessel’s controlled operational parameters is established, which has allowed the development of recommendations for decision-making based on the ranking of priorities among the optimization parameters of transport matrix strategies, the convergence of various generalizing functions, and the possibility of predicting the consequences of decision-making on the selected optimal management strategy under specific conditions. The diversity of various manifestations of the external environment’s influence on the functioning of transport facilities, global changes in the supply structure, evolving environmental requirements for waste disposal, and other causative factors that are not subject to strict regulation significantly complicate the information support necessary for decision-making under conditions of uncertainty. The adaptation of existing sea transportation technologies to changing operational conditions, driven by fluctuations in the external environment, constitutes the essence and direction of ongoing transformational changes aimed at modernizing the industry.
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